Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5258
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
OO 5258 · ORD → FNT
departs 5:55 PM CT · arrives 8:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 33%
Mon 10/5 28%
Fri 10/9 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at FNT more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FNT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at FNT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to FNT?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
5pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 2,800 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.10 in
FNT (destination)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 4 mi
Precip 0.56 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.