Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5262
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5262 · MSN → ORD
departs 3:46 PM CT · arrives 5:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 23%
Wed 10/7 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
43%
chance · ±0 pts
+22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
43%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
23%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Leave MSN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
3pm departures from MSN are often late
↓
MSN usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSN
Weather at each end
MSN (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.