Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5286
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5286 · SFO → RDD
departs 10:28 AM PT · arrives 11:46 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 21%
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at RDD more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RDD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at RDD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RDD?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10am departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RDD
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
RDD (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.