Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5297
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
OO 5297 · IAH → MKE
departs 7:57 PM CT · arrives 10:45 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 40%
Mon 10/5 18%
Fri 10/9 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MKE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MKE?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
7pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.47 in
MKE (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 4,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.