Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5329
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5329 · LAX → FAT
departs 9:31 PM PT · arrives 10:44 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 18%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.1d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
9pm departures from LAX are often late
↑
LAX is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FAT
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
Weather at each end
LAX (origin)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 3 mi
Precip none
FAT (destination)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.