Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5338 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OO 5338 · FAT → SFO

departs 6:30 AM PT · arrives 7:34 AM PT

Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SFO?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ FAT is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from FAT are usually not late

Weather at each end

FAT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5338 · FAT → SFO

Odds over time

How late will it get to SFO?