Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5352
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
OO 5352 · SBN → ORD
departs 3:17 PM ET · arrives 3:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 26%
Mon 10/5 14%
Fri 10/9 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
3pm departures from SBN are often late
↓
SBN usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SBN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.45 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 2,800 ft
Visibility 9 mi
Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.