Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5416
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5416 · ORD → SUN
departs 4:00 PM CT · arrives 6:58 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SUN more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SUN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at SUN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SUN?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SUN
↓
0.4 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
SUN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.