Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5457 LANDED 8:08 PM PT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2

OO 5457 · SLC → SFO

took off 7:30 PM MT · landed 8:08 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 42% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SFO that day

↓ SLC usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SFO (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5457 · SLC → SFO

Odds over time