Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5512 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 5512 · DEN → MLI

departs 5:38 PM MT · arrives 8:54 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 59h before departure

Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±12 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MLI?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ DEN usually runs smoothly

↓ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MLI (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling9,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5512 · DEN → MLI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MLI?