Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5550
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5550 · ASE → SFO
departs 7:15 PM MT · arrives 8:54 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±0 pts
+20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
23%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave ASE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
23%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at SFO that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE
Weather at each end
ASE (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.