Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5601 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 5601 · ORD → AVL

departs 6:59 AM CT · arrives 9:59 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 57h before departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into AVL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility3.66667 mi Precip0.39 in

AVL (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5601 · ORD → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?