Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5647
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5647 · SBA → LAX
departs 6:18 PM PT · arrives 7:32 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 15%
Wed 10/7 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SBA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late
↑
SBA is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
Weather at each end
SBA (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.