Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5654
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
OO 5654 · ECP → ORD
departs 2:05 PM CT · arrives 4:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 37%
Mon 10/5 19%
Fri 10/9 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at ECP that day
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↓
ECP usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
ECP (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.45 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.