Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5656 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 5656 · ORD → MLI

departs 8:45 AM CT · arrives 10:04 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 57h before departure

Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MLI?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.4 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into MLI at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,667 ft Visibility8.66667 mi Precip0.39 in

MLI (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling11,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5656 · ORD → MLI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MLI?