Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5704
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5704 · SBA → SFO
departs 8:24 PM PT · arrives 9:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
23%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.1d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave SBA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
23%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 62% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SFO that day
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at SBA that day
Weather at each end
SBA (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.