Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5711 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OO 5711 · SFO → ASE

departs 4:25 PM PT · arrives 7:55 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±2 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ASE?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ 4pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SFO that day

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

ASE (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5711 · SFO → ASE

Odds over time

How late will it get to ASE?