Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5713
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
OO 5713 · SBP → SFO
departs 8:28 PM PT · arrives 9:38 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 33%
Mon 10/5 23%
Fri 10/9 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
79%
chance · ±0 pts
+52 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
79%
Leave 15+ late
64%
Arrive 1h+ late
43%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
4.1d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +52 pts in 24h
+52 pts
79%
Yes 79%
No 21%
Leave SBP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +34 pts in 24h
+34 pts
64%
Yes 64%
No 36%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +28 pts in 24h
+28 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
20%
15–30 min late
50%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
12%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 61% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SFO that day
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at SBP that day
Weather at each end
SBP (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.