Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5803
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
OO 5803 · XNA → IAH
departs 9:00 AM CT · arrives 11:00 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 14%
Fri 10/9 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at IAH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IAH?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↑
IAH is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at XNA that day
↓
Arrivals into IAH at that hour are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.54 in
IAH (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.