Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5811
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5811 · ORD → DAY
departs 11:29 AM CT · arrives 1:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 21%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAY more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at DAY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAY?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DAY that day
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↑
11am departures from ORD are often late
↓
DAY usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into DAY at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 4.71429 mi Precip 0.24 in
DAY (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.53 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.