Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5812
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5812 · XNA → DEN
departs 1:28 PM CT · arrives 2:48 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 8%
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave XNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi, 1.2 in of rain forecast at XNA that day
↑
DEN is busy at that time
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Other factors
↓
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
XNA (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1.75 mi Precip 0.44 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.