Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5823
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5823 · ORD → TYS
departs 2:00 PM CT · arrives 5:00 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at TYS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to TYS?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into TYS at that hour are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.14 in
TYS (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.