tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5853 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

OO 5853 · XNA → ORD

departs 7:20 AM CT · arrives 9:30 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 59h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
26% chance · ±4 pts +6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 3.4d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    73%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    8%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.