Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5854
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5854 · SFO → BIH
departs 12:20 PM PT · arrives 1:39 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 20%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 26%
Thu 10/8 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at BIH more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at BIH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at BIH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BIH?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BIH
↓
BIH usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
BIH (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.