Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5869
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
OO 5869 · COU → ORD
departs 3:25 PM CT · arrives 5:05 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 76%
Fri 10/2
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 25%
Tue 10/6 29%
Wed 10/7 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave COU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Other factors
↓
Cloud base down to 857 ft forecast at ORD that day
Weather at each end
COU (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 900 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.05 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt
Ceiling 1,300 ft
Visibility 3.8 mi
Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.