Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5882
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
OO 5882 · IAH → ICT
departs 6:16 PM CT · arrives 8:12 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at IAH that day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.47 in
ICT (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.