Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5884 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 5884 · RAP → DEN

departs 9:00 AM MT · arrives 10:35 AM MT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Gusts to 29 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at RAP that day

Weather at each end

RAP (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

DEN (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5884 · RAP → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?