Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5899
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5899 · RNO → SFO
departs 11:38 AM PT · arrives 1:03 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 20%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±0 pts
+27 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
38%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave RNO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +24 pts in 24h
+24 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RNO
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
RNO (origin)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.