Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5936
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5936 · FCA → SFO
departs 4:11 PM MT · arrives 5:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
32%
Cancelled
37%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave FCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +20 pts in 24h
+20 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +36 pts in 24h
+36 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
37%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SFO that day
↓
FCA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FCA (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.