Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5938
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
OO 5938 · OTH → SFO
departs 2:04 PM PT · arrives 3:35 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 41%
Mon 10/5 41%
Tue 10/6 25%
Wed 10/7 30%
Thu 10/8 41%
Fri 10/9 43%
Sat 10/10 41%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
36%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave OTH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 49% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at OTH that day
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SFO that day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
OTH (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.