Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5949 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 5949 · ORD → PIA

departs 8:48 AM CT · arrives 10:09 AM CT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at PIA more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±1 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIA?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ORD that day

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at PIA that day

↓ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility3.66667 mi Precip0.39 in

PIA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.38 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5949 · ORD → PIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIA?