Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5953
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 5953 · SBN → ORD
departs 11:41 AM ET · arrives 11:55 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 13%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 21%
Thu 10/8 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↓
SBN usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SBN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.52 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.