Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5962 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

OO 5962 · SFO → SBA

departs 6:16 PM PT · arrives 7:43 PM PT

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at SBA more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SBA?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at SFO that day

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft forecast at SBA that day

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

SBA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5962 · SFO → SBA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SBA?