Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6194
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 6194 · DFW → FSD
departs 9:50 AM CT · arrives 12:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 17%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at FSD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to FSD?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
9am departures from DFW are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FSD
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.56 in
FSD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.