Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6204
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 6204 · OKC → ORD
departs 11:04 AM CT · arrives 1:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at OKC that day
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Other factors
↓
11am departures from OKC are usually not late
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.