Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6291 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OO 6291 · RST → ORD

departs 7:02 PM CT · arrives 9:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 56h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 44% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RST

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

RST (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling6,300 ft Visibility7.66667 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6291 · RST → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?