Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6433
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
OO 6433 · ALB → ORD
departs 7:56 PM ET · arrives 9:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±0 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
17%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
17%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ALB
Weather at each end
ALB (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.