tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1010 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

UA 1010 · TPA → ORD

departs 4:30 PM ET · arrives 6:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
39% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 3.8d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    60%
  2. 15–30 min late
    12%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    11%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    9%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.