Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1044 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 1044 · ORD → LAX

departs 10:30 AM CT · arrives 1:09 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from ORD are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at LAX that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,800 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.36 in

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1044 · ORD → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?