Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1109 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

UA 1109 · DEN → BNA

departs 1:50 PM MT · arrives 5:34 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,433 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BNA that day

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from DEN are often late

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Gusts to 31 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip1.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1109 · DEN → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?