Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1213 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 1213 · MCO → LAX

departs 7:37 PM ET · arrives 9:55 PM PT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↑ 7pm departures from MCO are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at LAX that day

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.09 in

LAX (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1213 · MCO → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?