Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1259 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 1259 · IAH → RIC

departs 6:50 PM CT · arrives 10:51 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ RIC usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip1.41 in

RIC (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1259 · IAH → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?