tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1261 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1261 · EWR → BNA

departs 9:28 PM ET · arrives 11:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
44% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 4.0d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BNA?

  1. On time or early
    54%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    14%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.