Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1417 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

UA 1417 · FLL → DEN

departs 3:30 PM ET · arrives 6:18 PM MT

Forecast issued Thu 2:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±5 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

DEN (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1417 · FLL → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?