tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1418 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1418 · EWR → EYW

departs 10:18 AM ET · arrives 1:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Arrive at EYW more than 15 minutes late?
37% chance · ±0 pts −15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 3.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EYW?

  1. On time or early
    49%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    23%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.