Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1437 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 1437 · MSY → EWR

departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 10:04 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from MSY are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.26 in

EWR (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1437 · MSY → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?