Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Friday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1483 LANDED 8:46 PM MT, ~40 MIN LATE

Friday, October 2

UA 1483 · DEN → MTJ

took off 8:12 PM MT · landed 8:46 PM MT (scheduled 7:05 PM MT → 8:10 PM MT)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MTJ more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MTJ?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DEN that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MTJ

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MTJ (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1483 · DEN → MTJ

Odds over time

How late did it get to MTJ?