Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1573 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 1573 · LAX → IAD

departs 4:49 PM PT · arrives 12:55 AM ET

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
6%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAD

↑ 4pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ This flight has been late 10% of the time recently

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1573 · LAX → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?