Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1597 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Today

UA 1597 · SFO → EWR

departs 12:35 PM PT · arrives 9:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±1 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Other factors

↓ UA's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1597 · SFO → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?