Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1654 IN THE AIR (OFF 11:56 PM CT, ETA 12:41 AM MT) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Friday, October 2 Yesterday

UA 1654 · IAH → DEN

took off 11:56 PM CT · expected to land 12:41 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

61% chance · ±0 pts +34 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Visibility down to 1.5 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↓ Other factors

↓ Gusts to 28 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.47 in

DEN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1654 · IAH → DEN

Odds over time